122 | But How Do I Actually Do It?

Detailed projections love to summarize financial well-being in a single metric, which is often a probability of success.

The trouble is that all of the context is lost the moment this happens.

Imagine if midway through the third quarter, one of the data analysts informed Patrick Mahomes that the Chiefs had an 82% chance of winning the game.

For a fleeting moment, he might have some peace of mind about progress, but immediately thereafter he's going to have questions about how to actually win the game.

He doesn’t need someone to tell him the likelihood that he’ll win.

He needs someone to help him brainstorm the specific plays that they need to run on each of the remaining drives.

He needs someone to help him decide what players need to be around him on the field.

He needs to be reminded of the work they did in practice to prepare for the last 15 minutes of the game.

He needs someone who can have a conversation in real football terms, not math terms that ignore the game that is still being played on the field.

Whether it's football or finances, you still have to play the game regardless of what the analytics say.